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Articles
Art of War and Trading: Part 2
兵者，诡道也。 All warfare is based on deception. Investment is, in essence, a game of intelligence and psychology, and the importance of calculation is behind the first two elements. At first, many beginner traders misunderstand what it means to be a profitable trader. Most assume that as long as they are good at mathematics or a similar ...
RBA’s Next Move: Up, Down or On Hold?
After a Liberal leadership crisis hit the Australian dollar last week, the victory of former Treasurer, Scott Morrison brought some relief to the markets given that he was the most market-friendly option. This week the Australian banks are in the limelight. The banking sector recently made headlines over the Royal Commission’s investigation...
Six Attributes of a Good Trading Plan
As a trader, you’ve probably found that having the right trading plan plays a significant role in your trading success. A basic trading plan should tell you what, when and how much to trade. It should also have specific instructions on when to close out your trades. As traders, we all need a well thought out trading plan to navigate our w...
The Art Of War And Trading: Part 1
What Is The Art Of War? The Art of War is an ancient Chinese book on military tactics and strategy who written by Sun Tzu around 500 BC. These writings are considered by many to be the most significant literature on military tactics and wisdom that can be applied to everyday life ever conceived. In this multi-article series, we will be interpreting...
Global Oil Sentiment May Assist The Loonie
The US Dollar has been crushing it this week against many of the major currency pairs with most of the market chatter surrounding additional rate hikes from the Fed. We'll look at the USDCAD, also referred to as the "Loonie," a pairing that has survived the recent onslaught thanks to its ties to global oil prices and the bullish sentiment surroundi...
World Trade – Winners and Losers
We hear a lot these days about countries having ''trade wars'' between each other, most recently the United States vs China ''trade war'' which was initiated by President Trump and is still ongoing. The United States has a huge trade deficit with China, world’s second largest economy and it will be interesting to see who if anyone will come out o...
Italy’s “First Budget” By the Populist Government
The newly-elected populist government in Italy will deliver its very first budget which will be pivotal to the Eurozone area. Italy has the second largest public government debt pile in Europe after the Greeks. The debt to equity ratio in Italy currently stands at 131.81% of its GDP, and market participants are questioning whether Italy will be a...
Jackson Hole Symposium: Why Is It Important?
All eyes will be on the Jackson Hole in Wyoming this week, where the annual Jackson Hole Economic Symposium will be held by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. This years symposium will take place from 23rd until the 25th of August and the topic for the upcoming event will be “Changing Market Structure and Implications for Monetary Policy”...
Greece’s Bailout Comes to an End – A Goodbye to the Troika
After eight long years of crisis whereby Greece endured stringent budget austerity programs, the country’s bailout will finally come to an end. Greece will therefore have to finance itself by borrowing on international bond markets. Before the bailout Greece was battling massive debt, loss of investment and huge unemployment. Nearly €300b...
August No Ordinary Month For GBPJPY
As Brexit concerns continue to weigh heavy on Pound Sterling crosses, there's not much to discuss from a technical perspective. Evidence of an overall bearishness sentiment dominates the charts with a few corrective moves thrown in for good measure. However, sifting through the layers of Sterling sameness, I uncovered something interesting relatin...
Warning Signs Of An Economic Storm Front
In Economics, the difference between 10 Year and 2 Year Bond Yields is one of the leading indicators that help investors to observe any significant changes in the economy. Let's break things down a little further. Firstly, common sense dictates that if you want to make a term deposit in the bank, the rate you can get from the long-term deposit wil...
NAFTA Update – Have US Negotiations Progressed?
It’s been one year since the trade renegotiations on the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) between Canada, the United States and Mexico began. Since then we have seen tough rhetoric on how the agreement should look like moving forward from each country, especially the United States. But are we finally getting closer to an agreement? Ab...
Another Blow to the Emerging Markets
Emerging Markets (EMs) are being dragged down by the deepening crisis in Turkey. The collapse of the Turkish Lira has rattled the financial markets, ripped through the emerging FX markets and brought down the stocks markets at the start of the week. Fears have gripped the EMs over various issues at once. EMs have received not one but several pun...
No Turkish Delight – Is A Currency Devaluation Of 40% Justified?
Most political scientists believe that all problems in the world are related to politics, and most economists believe that all problems are rooted in economics. However, what’s happening in Turkey now seems to be a combination of both as I'll explain. Firstly, investors have always regarded Turkey as one of the Emerging Markets with good economi...
The New “Lows”
By Deepta Bolaky Trade and geopolitical risks were at the forefront of the meltdown that rattled the markets on Friday. Turkey’s currency crisis prompted a massive sell-off across the markets hitting the European banking sectors the hardest. Fears began to mount as investors freted its rippling effects on the global markets. The current risk...